Thursday, June 29, 2023

QUORA: ‘Is it normal for 75% of the U.S. to be below freezing in November, or is that another sign of climate change?’

 QUORA: ‘Is it normal for 75% of the U.S. to be below freezing in November, or is that another sign of climate change?


In November 2019, The Lower 48 in the U.S. was swept by an intense cold wave that was very unusual for so early in the season. The question above apparently refers to that extreme weather event. At least, that’s what I’m assuming.  


Below is an edited and expanded version of the answer I posted:


No, it is not normal, if by “normal” you mean average. Far from it. In fact, the November 2019 cold snap is the strongest November cold wave since 1911, and in many cities stronger. Here are articles from the Washington Post and AccuWeather documenting just how unusual this cold wave was. 


But it is not some unprecedented event. The atmospheric conditions that unleashed this arctic air mass and sent it South, bringing with it well below average temperatures in the Lower 48, happen from time to time. Yes, records were broken. But remember that systematic weather records have only been around for about 100 to 200 years, depending on location. In the history of meteorology, that’s a pin prick in time.


As to climate change, I wouldn’t put too much stock in the notion that a single weather event signals anything about climate. Climate is an average of weather conditions measured over a long period of years spanning decades or longer. What the cold wave signals to me is that the hysteria over a so-called “climate crisis” is hogwash. Unfortunately, “climate change” has been so politicized that most of the “debate” about it is geared toward political ambitions rather than oriented around rationality and facts. Attributing an extreme weather event to climate change is a political “explanation.” Weather deviates from “normal” all the time. That’s not climate change. That's the weather. 


Climate change is defined as the long term shifts in weather patterns. Is our climate changing? Probably. Human activity likely contributes to those changes, especially in recent centuries. But so do natural forces. According to political “wisdom,” we face a climate crisis, and humans are to blame. But the steady stream of Chicken Little hysteria is best ignored. There are plenty of calmer, rational experts telling a different story. One I recommend is Unsettled: What Climate Science Tells Us, What It Doesn't, and Why It Matters by Steven Koonan. And if you read Brian Fagan’s The Little Ice Age: How Climate Made History 1300-1850, you get a picture of just how wild weather and climate swings have been historically. It puts into perspective how comparatively mild today’s alleged “climate crisis” is historically.


Related Reading:


Sierra Club's Jeff Tittel Smears Star-Ledger Article and its Contributors for Excluding Climate Religion from Hurricane Analysis


The Atlantic: Exploiting Hurricane Disasters to Talk Climate is OK—Eric Worrall for WUWT


A Carbon Tax Won't Stop Hurricanes—James Agresti for FEE


QUORA: ‘Why is there such strong pushback on climate change at the same time as we are seeing overwhelming proof of weather extremes in the USA?’


The Collectivist Left Media Launches Major ‘Climate Crisis’ Propaganda Campaign


It’s Time to Listen to the ‘Climate Denialists’


Stop ‘Denying’ the View From Outside the Climate Catastrophist Government Establishment


Sunday, June 25, 2023

Answering Readers’ Rebuttals to ‘What the Parents’ Rights Movement is Really Really About’ -- 2

 In my comment on Jamelle Bouie’s New York Times op-ed What the Republican Push for ‘Parents’ Rights’ Is Really About, I got numerous replies, all of them critical. In my comment, I advocated for universal school finance choice, based on the idea that education tax dollars should follow the child, rather than go directly to the district school of the child’s residence. 


Well, the reactionary defenders of the monopolistic status quo came out in force. This is great, because they gave me the chance to address many of the opposition arguments. I’ll address these critics in turn in a series of posts. To avoid using the “[sic]” notation for every erroneous or misspelled word or phrase, Let me simply state that respondents’ comments are reposted exactly as written. In some instances, the rebuttal begins with an excerpt from my comment.


You can read my entire comment here, and the article here. None of my replies were posted because the comments section was closed. Let me emphasize that I am a proponent of the complete separation of education and state


Earthling wrote:


Parents directing the course of education? What about your opinion differ from another parent’s? What if one parent wants to ban a book but another parent wants a book to be mandatory reading? Let the teachers decide, they are the professionals. If the parents don’t like it, then they have the freedom to take their kids out and go to a religious or private school.


The teacher is an expert, worthy of consulting, assuming they’re any good.  But she’s not a dictator. Educational freedom and choice is about more than a particular book. It’s about overall curricula, philosophy, and methods. Being a professional doesn’t make you right or good. Parents are perfectly capable of consulting experts to determine the course of their child’s education, and choosing accordingly, just as they do regarding a child’s nutritional needs, or in choosing a doctor, auto mechanic, or bathroom remodeler. Every field has experts. Your argument implies that parents are not qualified to make any decisions about any aspect of their child’s upbringing, and that only the state’s designated experts should dictate. This is the school world of the Soviet Union, or of Anthem.


The “freedom” you speak of is disingenuousness in the extreme. Freedom means the right to “vote” with your feet AND your money. When the parent chooses an alternate school, and the government-assigned school keeps your child’s allotted funding, the parent has to pay twice, which few families can afford. That’s a hollow “right.” It is not justice. If a private business attempted such a scheme, it would be prosecuted for fraud and theft. Give me one reason why the child’s education tax dollars shouldn’t be at the disposal  of the child’s actual education, rather than the district. 


Related Reading:


Education Funding: Let Taxpayers Direct Their Own Education Dollars

Educational Freedom, Not Just Education, ‘Has to Be the Top Priority for Candidates'


DeVos Could Advance the ‘Civil Right’ of School Choice Across America


A Newark, NJ Mother Demonstrates the Educational Power of Parental School Choice


Toward a Free Market in Education: School Vouchers or Tax Credits?


Charter Schools – Good, but Not the Long-Term Answer


Newark's Successful Charter Schools Under Attack—for Being Successful


Contra Congressman Donald M. Payne, a ‘For-Profit Model’ is Just What Education Needs


Pacific Legal Foundation on Education: We Need Choice, not More Money


The Educational Bonanza in Privatizing Government Schools by Andrew Bernstein for The Objective Standard

Wednesday, June 21, 2023

Answering Readers’ Rebuttals to ‘What the Parents’ Rights Movement is Really Really About’

In my comment on Jamelle Bouie’s New York Times op-ed What the Republican Push for ‘Parents’ Rights’ Is Really About, I got numerous replies, all of them critical. In my comment, I advocated for universal school finance choice, based on the idea that education tax dollars should follow the child, rather than go directly to the district school of the child’s residence. 


Well, the reactionary defenders of the monopolistic status quo came out in force. This is great, because they gave me the chance to address many of the opposition arguments. I’ll address these critics in turn in a series of posts. To avoid using the “[sic]” notation for every erroneous or misspelled word or phrase, Let me simply state that respondents’ comments are reposted exactly as written. In some instances, the rebuttal begins with an excerpt from my comment.


You can read my entire comment here, and the article here. None of my replies were posted because the comments section was closed. Let me emphasize that I am a proponent of the complete separation of education and state


Earthling wrote:


Parents directing the course of education? What about your opinion differ from another parent’s? What if one parent wants to ban a book but another parent wants a book to be mandatory reading? Let the teachers decide, they are the professionals. If the parents don’t like it, then they have the freedom to take their kids out and go to a religious or private school.


The teacher is an expert, worthy of consulting, assuming they’re any good.  But she’s not a dictator. Educational freedom and choice is about more than a particular book. It’s about overall curricula, philosophy, and methods. Being a professional doesn’t make you right or good. Parents are perfectly capable of consulting experts to determine the course of their child’s education, and choosing accordingly, just as they do regarding a child’s nutritional needs, or in choosing a doctor, auto mechanic, or bathroom remodeler. Every field has experts. Your argument implies that parents are not qualified to make any decisions about any aspect of their child’s upbringing, and that only the state’s designated experts should dictate. This is the school world of the Soviet Union, or of Anthem.


The “freedom” you speak of is disingenuousness in the extreme. Freedom means the right to “vote” with your feet AND your money. When the parent chooses an alternate school, and the government-assigned school keeps your child’s allotted funding, the parent has to pay twice, which few families can afford. That’s a hollow “right.” It is not justice. If a private business attempted such a scheme, it would be prosecuted for fraud and theft. Give me one reason why the child’s education tax dollars shouldn’t be at the disposal  of the child’s actual education, rather than the district. 


Related Reading:


Education Funding: Let Taxpayers Direct Their Own Education Dollars

Educational Freedom, Not Just Education, ‘Has to Be the Top Priority for Candidates'


DeVos Could Advance the ‘Civil Right’ of School Choice Across America


A Newark, NJ Mother Demonstrates the Educational Power of Parental School Choice


Toward a Free Market in Education: School Vouchers or Tax Credits?


Charter Schools – Good, but Not the Long-Term Answer


Newark's Successful Charter Schools Under Attack—for Being Successful


Contra Congressman Donald M. Payne, a ‘For-Profit Model’ is Just What Education Needs


Pacific Legal Foundation on Education: We Need Choice, not More Money


The Educational Bonanza in Privatizing Government Schools by Andrew Bernstein for The Objective Standard

Saturday, June 17, 2023

Juneteenth, the Offspring of the Fourth of July

In 1852, amid July 4th celebrations of America's independence, the great American intellectual and Abolitionist Frederick Douglass called on America to live up to the great principles of its Declaration of Independence and Constitution, and abolish slavery within its borders. In June of 1865, America finally did just that.

Today, June 17th, we celebrate Juneteenth as a National Holiday—and justly so. This is the day that, in June 1865, Union soldiers reached the last enslaved Americans in Galveston, Texas, with the news that slavery had been abolished and that they were now free.


The abolition of slavery, an evil institution that American inherited at its Founding, is a major cause for celebration and among America’s finest hours. The day the last slaves were liberated certainly rises to the level of deserving of a national holiday. But it must be remembered that the principles of the American Founding made possible the end of slavery. If not for the Fourth of July, we’d have no Juneteenth. Professor Jason D. Hill, author of We Have Overcome, aptly calls the abolition of slavery America’s Second Founding.  


By all means, celebrate Juneteenth, also known as Emancipation Day. But put it on a par with Constitution Day, which celebrates the document that Frederick Douglass called “a glorious liberty document.” Like The U.S. Constitution, Juneteenth owes its existence to the Declaration of Independence and the philosophy behind it


It’s a damn shame that it took almost a Century for the promises of the Declaration of Independence to reach all Americans of African descent. But it did, finally erasing America’s most glaring birth defect. 


Happy Juneteenth.


Related Reading:


The ‘1619 Project’ Fraud Begins its Poisonous Infiltration into American Politics


A New Textbook of Americanism — edited by Jonathan Hoenig


QUORA: ‘Why do law schools teach constitutional law but not the Declaration of Independence as an animating principle?’


The 'New American Socialists' Dilemma: The Declaration is as much anti-Socialist as anti-Slavery


Biden Cancels America


On Juneteenth, Let’s Celebrate the Atlases of Abolition by Jon Hersey for The Objective Standard 


Martin Luther King Jr. and the Fundamental Principle of America


WHAT SHALL BE DONE WITH THE SLAVES IF EMANCIPATED? By Frederick Douglass' Monthly, January, 1862


What to the Slave Is the Fourth of July? by Frederick Douglass | July 5, 1852

Tuesday, June 13, 2023

Did SCOTUS Promote or Reject Racism in Alabama Redistricting Case?

In an Alabama redistricting case, Allen v. Milligan, The Supreme Court ruled that Alabama’s congressional redistricting plan violated Section 2 of the 1965 Voting Rights Act. In the redistricting plan, only one of seven voting districts are “majority black.” This did not sit well with the 5 of the 9 justices. Mark Sherman of AP reported:


The Supreme Court on Thursday issued a surprising 5-4 ruling in favor of Black voters in a congressional redistricting case from Alabama, with two conservative justices joining liberals in rejecting a Republican-led effort to weaken a landmark voting rights law.


Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Brett Kavanaugh aligned with the court’s liberals in affirming a lower-court ruling that found a likely violation of the Voting Rights Act in an Alabama congressional map with one majority Black seat out of seven districts in a state where more than one in four residents is Black. The state now will have to draw a new map for next year’s elections.


This is actually a tough call. Race shouldn't be a consideration in drawing congressional districts. That's what the Alabama legislature may have done. The Supreme Court's decision may be good on narrow grounds—if the districts were drawn on racial grounds. But  more broadly, it left in place the doctrine that race can be a consideration by approving the idea that the racial makeup of the districts must match the racial makeup of the state population. This is clearly racist. It implies that a person's opinions are determined by skin color. That is a racist premise. 


If it had been found that the redistricting lines had been drawn with race in mind, that would be racist and it would be right to invalidate the redistricting scheme. But if the case was decided based on the idea that the district lines must be drawn based on the racial makeup of the state, that would be racist.


The latter seems to be the case. State congressional districts are drawn by legislatures, which typically draw districts based on political calculations, such as to favor one political party or other or protect incumbents. This is called gerrymandering (which, of course, the politicians vehemently deny doing). If the Alabama district map was drawn purely on political considerations, it may be unsavory but would not be racist. Section 2 of the Voting rights act reads:


Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 prohibits voting practices or procedures that discriminate on the basis of race, color, or membership in one of the language minority groups identified in Section 4(f)(2) of the Act. Most of the cases arising under Section 2 since its enactment involved challenges to at-large election schemes, but the section's prohibition against discrimination in voting applies nationwide to any voting standard, practice, or procedure that results in the denial or abridgement of the right of any citizen to vote on account of race, color, or membership in a language minority group.


Any citizen. Singular. My emphasis. Clearly, no citizen’s right to vote was denied or abridged, the Left’s hyperbole notwithstanding. The right to vote is being conflated with the “right” to certain electoral outcomes.* But the Voting Rights Act does not guarantee the election of candidates favored by some racial group majority. It guarantees that each individual has the same right to vote regardless of race. Period. The idea that because black residents make up 1/4 of the state‘s population that 1/4 of elected representatives must be black (or supported by a black majority) is nowhere consistent with equality before the law. It is racist. Yet somehow the Voting Rights Act has been recast by court rulings to promote racial proportionality in electoral outcomes, rather than protect the right to vote, thus eroding the importance of the individual right to vote. 


Why? Spurred on by activists demanding racial proportionality in election outcomes, Section 2 was amended in 1982. That didn’t help.  The amendment concluded with 


The extent to which members of a protected class have been elected to office in the State or political subdivision is one circumstance which may be considered: Provided, That nothing in this section establishes a right to have members of a protected class elected in numbers equal to their proportion in the population. [Italics in original]


On the face of it, this makes no sense at all. But the vague language of the amendment cracked the door open to race-based outcomes as a valid consideration. Courts have used that opening to the hilt. The Roberts court affirmed that perversion of the clear language of the 1965 Voting Rights Act, which unequivocally forbids discrimination based on race.


Supporters of the decision jumped through hoops to distort the facts and justify the obvious pro-racist nature of the ruling. “Today’s decision rejects efforts to further erode fundamental voting rights protections, and preserves the principle that in the United States, all eligible voters must be able to exercise their constitutional right to vote free from discrimination based on their race,” declared Attorney General Merrick Garland, in lauding a ruling that actually erodes genuine voting rights by preserving racist redistricting. “We are grateful that the Supreme Court upheld what we knew to be true: that everyone deserves to have their vote matter and their voice heard,” said Evan Milligan, the lead plaintiff in the case, in lauding a ruling that melts the importance of individuals’ vote and voice into a racial collectivist blob—and shamelessly declares the one’s vote and voice only “matters” when one’s favored candidate wins. 


Yet in no district were any voter’s right to vote denied or disparaged. No one’s vote mattered less than anyone else’s. No one’s free speech rights were abridged. Your guy didn’t win? That’s elections. It doesn’t matter how other people who share your skin color voted. We’re all individuals, with one vote. The fact that black people regularly vote Democrat in large percentages, rather than race, may be the reason for only one majority black district. If blacks were more diverse in their politics, the “color” of districts needn’t matter. 


Justifying—or perhaps rationalizing—the ruling, Chief Justice John ‘Roberts wrote that the court was declining ‘to recast our section 2 case law as Alabama requests.’” Thus, Roberts was evading the basic issue, and simply following precedent. But Justice Clarence Thomas, writing for the minority, was more succinct:


The other four conservative justices dissented Thursday. Justice Clarence Thomas wrote that the decision forces “Alabama to intentionally redraw its longstanding congressional districts so that black voters can control a number of seats roughly proportional to the black share of the State’s population. Section 2 demands no such thing, and, if it did, the Constitution would not permit it.” 


Again, was there evidence that the legislature drew the district lines based on race? Or was it politics? Apparently, there was no evidence of racism. I read Roberts’s opinion, and I saw no allegations of racist intent. Whatever the case, the majority very clearly refused to adhere to the anti-discrimination demands of the Voting Rights Act. This seems to me to be a bad decision. 


Whatever the merits of the decision, actual voting rights were not at issue, the Left’s hysteria notwithstanding. The Left and the Democrats incessantly charge that voting rights are imperiled. This is a smokescreen. What they are really trying to do is to protect their cherished racial group conception of voting rights. This is consistent with their collectivist, identity politics ideological orientation. But collectivized “rights” are the antipode of genuine individual rights. 


As I said earlier, this is a tough call. There probably should be a better way to draw congressional districts. Just look at NJ’s recent redistricting plan. The Democrats who created it explicitly used race in their calculations. One thing is certain: Drawing congressional districts based on race, in part or in whole, is hostile to the principles of America, of justice, of the Enlightenment, and of a civilized society. It assumes that voters’ choices are determined by skin color, rather than their own reasoning minds; in this case, black people’s voting preferences.  Allen v. Milligan appears to have left that degenerate racist practice to stand. As to the question at the top of this post, the answer is obvious.


* [See, in particular, page 17 of the majority opinion, which includes language like “we have reiterated that §2 turns on the presence of discriminatory effects, not discriminatory intent.” “Effects” means not getting the candidate of your racial choice. This means “an individual is disabled from ‘enter[ing] into the political process in a reliable and meaningful manner’.” This amounts to, “my right to vote wasn’t denied or abridged. But my guy didn’t win, so it must be racism.”]


Related Reading:


Woke Redistricting Madness in NJ


Jesse Jackson’s Big Lie: ‘American Democracy is Under Siege’


Collectivized Rights—Ayn Rand


Ruling on redistricting, the Supreme Court again repudiates colorblind law by George F. Will


A Gerrymandering Cure Worse than the Disease


Memo to John D. Atlas: How About Let's Not Suppress Anybody's Vote, or Voice


Friday, June 9, 2023

A Terribly Unjust ‘Solution’ to the Entitlements Insolvency ‘Conundrum’

Donald Trump has been hammering Ron DeSantos over his prior stands on the big so-called “middle class entitlements,” Social Security and Medicare. “Don’t touch them” is Trump’s mantra, despite their well-known solvency problems. Washington Post columnist Henry Olsen has some advice for DeSantos. In Here’s a solution to DeSantis’s Social Security and Medicare conundrum, Olson advises:


Former president Donald Trump has been hammering Ron DeSantis over his past votes to significantly change Social Security and Medicare. The Florida governor and former congressman has attempted to wave away the attacks, but there’s a better way to counter Trump’s charges: Appeal to both GOP conservatives and populists by targeting entitlement benefits to those in need.


Social Security and Medicare both have a dirty secret: They spend tens of billions of dollars each year subsidizing well-to-do seniors who don’t need, or can pay more for, their benefits. 


That “well-to-do seniors who don’t need it” can collect benefits that they paid for and were promised is not “dirty,” secret or not. It is what makes Social Security and Medicare among the fairest welfare state programs in existence. The fact that personal financial health is not a factor is what gives these fundamentally immoral programs at least an element of justice.   


Social Security benefits are not means-tested; billionaire Elon Musk can collect Social Security when he retires. Similarly, Medicare’s hospital benefits (Part A) go to everyone on the same terms regardless of their finances. Premiums for Medicare’s outpatient and drug benefits (Parts B and D) are also only partially means-tested. The result is that millions of people who can pay full freight for their Medicare benefits don’t, and millions more use their Social Security benefits to top off their substantial private savings.


Whenever you hear the rich being targeted, you’ve encountered a hidden attack on the middle class. If you think cutting off the tiny handful of multi-billionaires would be enough to save Social Security and Medicare, you’re delusional. Elon Musk is window dressing. The real target is any responsible, frugal long-term planner who has earned a private pension, built up retirement savings like a 401k or IRA, or accumulated “substantial private savings,” whatever that means.


“Means testing” is short-hand for screwing the successful. It would destroy that element of justice. It would put everyone at the mercy of government authorities who would judge your “need,” and thus your worthiness to collect these benefits—and deny you if you are flagged by some statistical formula. You paid in hundreds of thousands of dollars over your working life, without your consent, depriving you of your right to use your own money as you judge best? Too bad. We’re going to deprive you of your promised benefits. Olsen suggests $100,000 of “non-Social-Security income” as the cutoff, after which your benefits would begin to be reduced and your premiums rise. But why not $75, 000, or $50,000? Pick your number. That Elon Musk’s benefits are treated the same as everyone else is a moral positive, not a program vice. Once you’ve cut off the Elon Musks of the country from their rightful benefits, you’ve opened the door to attacks on all retirees with savings. Olsen admits as much: “Millions of people who can pay full freight for their Medicare benefits don’t,” he writes, “and millions more use their Social Security benefits to top off their substantial private savings.” 


Millions! Don’t delude yourself into believing that you are not one of those millions. The best protection for your earned and paid for promised benefits is to leave Elon Musk’s benefits alone.


Social Security and Medicare are in deep trouble. They should be reformed. I’d start with personal accounts as a step on the way to elimination. But any reforms must be fair, and not include more draconian means-testing in addition to the limited means-testing already in the programs. It’s a matter of justice.


Related Reading:


The “Personal Account” Path to Ending Social Security


Your 401(k) - Obama’s Next Target